Disclosure: The following represents my opinions only. I am long TAO.V, TNZ.TO, and VLE.TO (Image credit to Pawel Nolbert on Unsplash)
Long ago, in a far away galaxy, investors once cared about junior international energy stocks. There was a diverse ecosystem of analysts and institutions investing in international energy stories as the world demanded more oil in response to the massive growth in Asia, particularly China. There was a whole sub-sector of international Canadian-based independent champions in just about every major oil producing region you can think of, and the shares were widely owned and traded by institutions and retail investors alike. Financings were announced and oversubscribed, capital was deployed, risks were taken. Fortunes were made and lost, and through all of it, more oil and gas did make it to market as a result. After the 2008 implosion, gradually, the light faded; and eventually only a shadow of the sector and its investors remained. Now, fifteen years after the GFC, I’m feeling like 2023 could see the return of the J.E.D.I. — the Juniors who Explore and Develop Internationally — in terms of small cap market interest. In Q4 alone, I have seen Jedi-like deals for three of my junior hopefuls — Tag Oil (TAO.V, last at $0.55), Valerua Energy (VLE.TO, last at $1.70), and now, Tenaz Energy (TNZ.TO, last at $2.00). I think that all three of these companies have the ability to inspire hope in a sector that has been lost for years… and they all will begin their journeys in earnest in the New Year.